FanBoardHQ

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State University · 2024 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#101
Efficiency
-1.8
73rd FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
0-9
Conf. finish
16th
of 16
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Oklahoma State went 3-9 and was ranked 101st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 40th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 107th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 59% of offensive plays with a 51st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 41% of plays with an 89th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-5
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-2
Q4
2-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
111th
-4.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
14th
full season
14th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
27th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs South Dakota StateMVFCW 4420-9.1100%33.1Q4
2vs ArkansasSEC#44W 3931-6.5100%10.1Q3
3@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#131W 4510+26.8100%15.5Q4
4vs UtahBig 12#66L 1922-6.60%0.4Q3
5@ Kansas StateBig 12#24L 2042-17.70%-5.0Q1
6vs West VirginiaBig 12#68L 1438+1.70%-38.9Q4
8@ BYUBig 12#7L 3538-21.20%16.1Q1
9@ BaylorBig 12#33L 2838-17.40%4.3Q1
10vs Arizona StateBig 12#8L 2142-16.70%-8.1Q1
11@ TCUBig 12#30L 1338-15.00%-27.6Q2
13vs Texas TechBig 12#40L 4856-5.50%-4.3Q3
14@ ColoradoBig 12#26L 052-16.90%-20.3Q1

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Oklahoma State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-33.1-2.9+27.43310150-5-39164-8-28-4-20Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 51st
SR 45thYPP 71stEPA 48th
RushingEff 89th
SR 55thYPP 101stEPA 93rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 92nd
SR 83rdYPP 89thEPA 93rd
Rush defenseEff 115th
SR 68thYPP 134thEPA 126th
Dropback rate 59%Tempo +2.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 50th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 49%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 40.0Q1 · Allowed: 93.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 94.0Q2 · Allowed: 121.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 54.0Q3 · Allowed: 90.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 121.0Q4 · Allowed: 117.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOklahoma StateOffenseDefense
Oklahoma State Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 40th
+4.0
Field position: -1.4Finishing drives: +5.5
Field position -1.4Finishing drives +5.5= +4.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 111th · Finishing 27th

Defensive EffRanked 107th
-6.0
Field position: +1.5Finishing drives: -7.5
Field position +1.5Finishing drives -7.5= -6.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 19th · Finishing 117th

2.01 points per drive on offense, 2.74 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(164)57% / 43%37%5.4
Q2(193)61% / 39%41%6.3
Q3(206)54% / 46%50%6.4
Q4(230)59% / 41%41%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(181)10.049%7.9
2nd(151)8.844%7.0
3rd(111)8.829%5.4
4th(14)4.771%6.4
All (457)43%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(178)9.737%4.4
2nd(100)6.740%4.2
3rd(47)4.355%6.4
4th(11)1.682%2.2
All (336)42%4.6

Oklahoma State, all games.